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I didn't really want to post this in the mess that is the Trump thread so I'm making my own.
I know there are people here who deny climate change. I really want to know why. With so much clear evidence for climate change the only reason I can see for denying its existence is willful ignorance. So again, why?
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It's really not about fear or hysteria though, it's just about the facts. Climate change is going to cause some major problems in years to come, partly because of mankind, and partly due to nature. When people deny it exists or refuse to address the problem (especially politicians like Donald Trump) it's making things worse for everyone.
Edit: Reading a little more about the Holocene Warm Period, it's hard to apply it to current events, because the Holocene had very different causes than today's climate change. Holocene was mostly caused by orbital forcing. In other words, the gradual change in the orbit of Earth around the Sun changed the amount of solar radiation reaching Earth. What we observe today has much more to do with humans. In fact, scientists calculated that if we lived in the same conditions as the Holocene period today, it would actually be even hotter than it was then.
I've never seen the Al Gore film, but I nevertheless doubted your statements about the claims of earth being destroyed by now and I ended up finding this quote from yahoo answers
" I’m racking my brains to think of the last time that a skeptic accurately quoted someone, I can’t think when it was, must have been a long time ago.
As any reasonable person would expect, Al Gore didn’t state that we only have 10 years left…
The quote you attribute to Gore was actually made by Larry David on 25 January 2006.
It was made the morning after the world premier of Gore’s movie An Inconvenient Truth. Larry David was asked about Al Gore and commented “Al is a funny guy. But he is also a very serious guy who believes humans may have only 10 years left to save the planet from turning into a total frying pan.”
Trevor · 2 years ago "
Maybe the people being lied to shouldn't be so gullible and get their news from anti-climate change propaganda?
The affects it will have on us are not going to be so slow that they'll hardly be a problem.(Honestly no matter how slow they were this would still be a problem) This is by no means saying "WE HAVE THREE YEARS TO BUILD NOAH'S ARC", but we will see the effects and they are going to be serious issues.
The most obvious effect is the Earth's water cycles being thrown way off. Humans have already crowded Earth, and rising water levels only make it worse. We lose land, for living, and land for production, which is serious. Melting ice and higher oceans also means more evaporation, and more violent weather. The shift of climates will affect habitats of many animals, and may lead to the collapse of ecosystems. Farmers are having problems keeping up with increasingly unpredictable weather patterns, and the increasing heat is making the world more habitable for disease and pests.
I could name some more, but the idea is that climate change will have an impact on us and we're not just going to adapt it away so easily.
"yeeoo dude climate change is like sooo totes not real the science guys who thought that its real are just joshin you bro like freal mannnn its just another plan that the mannnn is trying to carry out dude faar outt"
Also its not surprising at all that you ignored my two comments in my last post. That's the typical procedure for "skeptics" they will spew off facts and when confronted with something they will just jump to their next point and try to strafe you with information so you can't address everything one by one.
And one last thing, those experiments while highly unethical were no junk experiments just because you people in the1950s should have know what you think you know about brain drug interactions. The heart of the scientific method is to learn from failed mistakes and make new hypothesis.
Frankly I don't care about the science behind it. But let's assume it is true that anthropomorphic climate change really is occurring. So what are we going to do about it then? Because everything we use, everything we built is brought about by fossil fuel. Unless you want to live an Amish lifestyle we need energy to power our machines. Not only do we need a lot of energy but it needs to be produced cheaply in order that it may economically viable. And so far fossil fuels is the only way we can do that. Nuclear is a good option too. Nuclear is actually cleaner than solar when you look at their energy produced compared to how much toxic waste it produces. The point is that even if it is true that climate change is real and we are making a big affect on it, the benefits we get from fossil fuel outweigh the potential bad we could face.
I wouldn't listen to anything Al Gore says, he is just as much of a clown as Jim Inhofe. He said 10 years ago that there would be no more ice caps in 10 years. Well it's been 10 years and we still got em. I've seen people argue that there's less now, I've seen people argue there are more ice caps now, I'm not going to argue on that.
Humans have not overcrowded the Earth. You could put everyone in the state of Texas and give each family a house to live in. We have enough space.
Good videos by Prager U. Here's an actual atmospheric physicist explaining the reality of the debate and not some nameless youtuber. None of these people have been paid off by oil companies.
And here's Patrick Moore, PhD in ecology and cofounder of Greenpeace
Another video by Alex Epstein disproving the whole 97% of scientist claim you mentioned in my mess of a thread. I'm actually have his book but haven't read it yet. Source by David Henderson in the video
http://econlog.econlib.org/archives/2014/02/david_friedman_14.html
I'm not arguing whether anthropomorphic climate change is true, I'm saying even if it is true, we get so much out of the fossil fuels that it is worth it. You can make all the environmental catastrophe predictions you want but the statistics show that humans, ever since the industrial revolution, have died less from starvation and weather. Sure we still get problems with droughts and hurricanes and flooding and none of that is ever going to go away, though you can make the argument it could become more common but the stats don't show that either. Environmental problems were deadlier in the past without energy to deliver people and supplies quickly in order that it doesn't cause it to lose more lives. Now that we have the energy from fossil fuels to deliver people and supplies quickly, sure hurricane Matthew is still a scary thought and it has killed many people mostly in Haiti, but imagine how many more people would have died if there was no fossil fuels.
And when we talk about scientists that don't support climate change, we have to recognize they are an extreme minority. When we've got the vast majority of the scientific community, upwards of 90%, I'm going to listen to what the majority of the experts say, especially when it makes perfect sense. You can find scientists saying that the Earth is flat, that evolution is a lie, and just about any other bundle of ignorance.
Saying that the reason climate change is supported so heavily is because of money is ridiculous. While it's true that scientists are not always truthful, and that they are not always right, does not mean it is not to be taken seriously. Scientists don't just pull statistics out of thin air. They do real research and experimentation, and fabricating evidence or lying about results is a huge mistake and will almost guaranteed end someone's career as a scientist.
Not to mention the fact that this idea of scientists only supporting global warming because of money makes this really ignorant assumption that funding doesn't go out to people who look for reasons to say global warming isn't happening.
But above all, there's little evidence to suggest that such a massive number of scientists are by large, fabricating evidence.
It's really not a sound argument at all.
I'd also like to add that fossil fuels are not the only source of energy humans can use, Arlong.
http://daviddfriedman.blogspot.ca/2014/02/a-climate-falsehood-you-can-check-for.html
I'm well aware there are other energy sources, I mentioned solar and nuclear in my comment. I have a brain, and I used to be pro green, pro wind and solar energy. I'm well aware that other sources of energy exist. I'm aware they produce energy but the problem is that it isn't enough. You could cover the entire planet with solar panels and you wouldn't have enough energy production to power everything we need.
Anyways, about John Cook. I've found a somewhat recent response (compared to the 2014 article you linked at least), about his paper and the accusations of falsehood thrown at him. He published a second one recently.
The argument against the 97% statistic rides on a fundamental misunderstanding of how the figure was obtained.
WOW...
what is next claiming earth is flat and that Earth is actually center of universe and sun moves around the earth instead of earth moving around the sun?
>Here watch this PragerU video to learn the truth
Jokes over. Thread closed.
Look closely at his wording. "among the ~4000 abstracts stating a position, 97.1% endorsed human-caused global warming." This excludes the papers that do not have a position, which are the majority 66.4%. Which means right off the bat the majority of scientists are excluded from the statistic because they did not state a position on the issue. That 97.2% is among the 33.6% that stated a position. So it's really more like 30% of scientists agree with the consensus. And that's just based on his words, there is nothing in that response that answers the distinction between humans action being the main cause and human action being a cause among several.
http://ocean.nationalgeographic.com/ocean/critical-issues-sea-level-rise/
Just read it.
And in case you missed what I said about the Holocene Climatic Optimum, it really is hardly relevant to today because it was caused by orbital forcing. There is evidence to say that if we lived under the same conditions today it would be hotter than it was at that time.
I don't know where you're getting this idea that anyone can do a little experiment and call themselves a scientist. That's not how it works. Scientists go through complicated processes to put credible work out there into the scientific community, and people who fail to meet the standards won't be taken seriously. It takes a lot of evidence, explanation, and hard work for someone to actually be a scientist.
also nearly every credible Scientists go through education in universities and earn many degrees, Masters and Phds to be called crediable scientists... only a fool do not trust the findings from Phd scientists...
And of course it excludes the papers that don't have an opinion. The stat comes from the percentage of those who had an opinion on climate change based on those who stated a position on it. He didn't assume anyone's position.
they adapt to ever changing world and they learn. STOP DISTRUSTING PEOPLE WHO HAVE STUDIED AND HAVE QUALIFICATIONS!
That is like not trusting doctors to do your surgery just because some doctors are crooks.
https://www.asme.org/engineering-topics/articles/nuclear/cold-fusion-25-years-later
It only took weeks for the scientific community to shoot it down when the results couldn't be reproduced, and the team originally touting the idea was unable to provide suitable explanation.
Your entire argument is predicated on the the illusion that the majority of scientists agree with you. You even said it, the stat comes from the percentage of those who expressed an opinion. But the majority of scientists did not state a position, so that majority group is not represented. So to say that 97% of scientists agree with man-made climate change is false because not every scientist was equally taken into consideration, only those that expressed an opinion which are the minority. And again, it still didn't make the distinction between humans being the main cause and humans being a cause. I would love to hear from the ones who says that humans are not the main or even a cause. Don't you think that's more interesting and informational than hearing that humans are the main cause which you've already heard a thousand times? I don't even have to rely on the appeal to popularity fallacy for this.